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Statistical Analysis and Stochastic Modelling of Hydrological Extremes

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ISBN: 9783039216642 9783039216659 Year: Pages: 294 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-665-9 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Science (General) --- Meteorology and Climatology
Added to DOAB on : 2019-12-09 16:10:12
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Abstract

Hydrological extremes have become a major concern because of their devastating consequences and their increased risk as a result of climate change and the growing concentration of people and infrastructure in high-risk zones. The analysis of hydrological extremes is challenging due to their rarity and small sample size, and the interconnections between different types of extremes and becomes further complicated by the untrustworthy representation of meso-scale processes involved in extreme events by coarse spatial and temporal scale models as well as biased or missing observations due to technical difficulties during extreme conditions. The complexity of analyzing hydrological extremes calls for robust statistical methods for the treatment of such events. This Special Issue is motivated by the need to apply and develop innovative stochastic and statistical approaches to analyze hydrological extremes under current and future climate conditions. The papers of this Special Issue focus on six topics associated with hydrological extremes: Historical changes in hydrological extremes; Projected changes in hydrological extremes; Downscaling of hydrological extremes; Early warning and forecasting systems for drought and flood; Interconnections of hydrological extremes; Applicability of satellite data for hydrological studies.

Keywords

rainfall --- monsoon --- high resolution --- TRMM --- drought prediction --- APCC Multi-Model Ensemble --- seasonal climate forecast --- machine learning --- sparse monitoring network --- Fiji --- drought analysis --- ANN model --- drought indices --- meteorological drought --- SIAP --- SWSI --- hydrological drought --- discrete wavelet --- global warming --- statistical downscaling --- HBV model --- flow regime --- uncertainty --- reservoir inflow forecasting --- artificial neural network --- wavelet artificial neural network --- weighted mean analogue --- variation analogue --- streamflow --- artificial neural network --- simulation --- forecasting --- support vector machine --- evolutionary strategy --- heavy storm --- hyetograph --- temperature --- clausius-clapeyron scaling --- climate change --- the Cauca River --- climate variability --- ENSO --- extreme rainfall --- trends --- statistical downscaling --- random forest --- least square support vector regression --- extreme rainfall --- polynomial normal transform --- multivariate modeling --- sampling errors --- non-normality --- extreme rainfall analysis --- statistical analysis --- hydrological extremes --- stretched Gaussian distribution --- Hurst exponent --- INDC pledge --- precipitation --- extreme events --- extreme precipitation exposure --- non-stationary --- extreme value theory --- uncertainty --- flood regime --- flood management --- Kabul river basin --- Pakistan --- extreme events --- innovative methods --- downscaling --- forecasting --- compound events --- satellite data

Stochastic Processes: Theory and Applications

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ISBN: 9783039219629 9783039219636 Year: Pages: 216 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-963-6 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Science (General) --- Mathematics --- Statistics
Added to DOAB on : 2020-01-07 09:08:26
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The aim of this special issue is to publish original research papers that cover recent advances in the theory and application of stochastic processes. There is especial focus on applications of stochastic processes as models of dynamic phenomena in various research areas, such as queuing theory, physics, biology, economics, medicine, reliability theory, and financial mathematics. Potential topics include, but are not limited to: Markov chains and processes; large deviations and limit theorems; random motions; stochastic biological model; reliability, availability, maintenance, inspection; queueing models; queueing network models; computational methods for stochastic models; applications to risk theory, insurance and mathematical finance.

Keywords

measure of information --- cumulative inaccuracy --- mutual information --- lower record values --- parabolic equation --- Cauchy problem --- Monte Carlo method --- unbiased estimator --- von-Neumann–Ulam scheme --- compound poisson insurance risk model --- expected discounted penalty function --- estimation --- Fourier transform --- Fourier-cosine series --- multidimensional birth-death process --- inhomogeneous continuous-time Markov chain --- rate of convergence --- one dimensional projection --- Wiener–Poisson risk model --- survival probability --- Nonparametric threshold estimation --- wet periods --- total precipitation volume --- asymptotic approximation --- extreme order statistics --- random sample size --- testing statistical hypotheses --- queueing systems --- rate of convergence --- non-stationary --- Markovian queueing models --- limiting characteristics --- queuing network --- retrials --- state-dependent marked Markovian arrival process --- wireless telecommunication networks --- time-dependent queue-length probability --- discrete-time Geo/D/1 queue --- closed-form solution --- Monte Carlo method --- quasi-Monte Carlo method --- Koksma-Hlawka inequality --- quasi-random sequences --- stochastic processes --- processor heating and cooling --- markovian arrival process --- phase-type service time distribution --- impatience --- Quasi-Birth-and-Death process --- matrix-geometric solution --- truncated distribution --- Markovian arrival process --- multi-class arrival processes --- product form --- equity-linked death benefits --- Fourier cosine series expansion --- guaranteed minimum death benefit --- option --- valuation --- Lévy process --- compound Poisson risk model --- generalized Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function --- Laplace transform --- Dickson–Hipp operator --- recursive formula

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MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (2)


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english (2)


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2019 (2)