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Forecasting and Assessing Risk of Individual Electricity Peaks

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Book Series: Mathematics of Planet Earth ISBN: 9783030286699 Year: Pages: 97 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-28669-9 Language: English
Publisher: Springer
Subject: Agriculture (General) --- Mathematics
Added to DOAB on : 2020-02-04 11:21:18
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The overarching aim of this open access book is to present self-contained theory and algorithms for investigation and prediction of electric demand peaks. A cross-section of popular demand forecasting algorithms from statistics, machine learning and mathematics is presented, followed by extreme value theory techniques with examples. In order to achieve carbon targets, good forecasts of peaks are essential. For instance, shifting demand or charging battery depends on correct demand predictions in time. Majority of forecasting algorithms historically were focused on average load prediction. In order to model the peaks, methods from extreme value theory are applied. This allows us to study extremes without making any assumption on the central parts of demand distribution and to predict beyond the range of available data. While applied on individual loads, the techniques described in this book can be extended naturally to substations, or to commercial settings. Extreme value theory techniques presented can be also used across other disciplines, for example for predicting heavy rainfalls, wind speed, solar radiation and extreme weather events. The book is intended for students, academics, engineers and professionals that are interested in short term load prediction, energy data analytics, battery control, demand side response and data science in general.

eIoT

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ISBN: 9783030104276 Year: Pages: 160 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-10427-6 Language: English
Publisher: Springer
Subject: Computer Science --- Agriculture (General)
Added to DOAB on : 2020-02-05 11:21:11
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This open access book explores the collision between the sustainable energy transition and the Internet of Things (IoT). In that regard, this book’s arrival is timely. Not only is the Internet of Things for energy applications, herein called the energy Internet of Things (eIoT), rapidly developing but also the transition towards sustainable energy to abate global climate is very much at the forefront of public discourse. It is within the context of these two dynamic thrusts, digitization and global climate change, that the energy industry sees itself undergoing significant change in how it is operated and managed. This book recognizes that they impose five fundamental energy management change drivers: 1.) the growing demand for electricity, 2.) the emergence of renewable energy resources, 3.) the emergence of electrified transportation, 4.) the deregulation of electric power markets, 5.) and innovations in smart grid technology. Together, they challenge many of the assumptions upon which the electric grid was first built. The goal of this book is to provide a single integrated picture of how eIoT can come to transform our energy infrastructure. This book links the energy management change drivers mentioned above to the need for a technical energy management solution. It, then, describes how eIoT meets many of the criteria required for such a technical solution. In that regard, the book stresses the ability of eIoT to add sensing, decision-making, and actuation capabilities to millions or perhaps even billions of interacting “smart" devices. With such a large scale transformation composed of so many independent actions, the book also organizes the discussion into a single multi-layer energy management control loop structure. Consequently, much attention is given to not just network-enabled physical devices but also communication networks, distributed control & decision making, and finally technical architectures and standards. Having gone into the detail of these many simultaneously developing technologies, the book returns to how these technologies when integrated form new applications for transactive energy. In that regard, it highlights several eIoT-enabled energy management use cases that fundamentally change the relationship between end users, utilities, and grid operators. Consequently, the book discusses some of the emerging applications for utilities, industry, commerce, and residences. The book concludes that these eIoT applications will transform today’s grid into one that is much more responsive, dynamic, adaptive and flexible. It also concludes that this transformation will bring about new challenges and opportunities for the cyber-physical-economic performance of the grid and the business models of its increasingly growing number of participants and stakeholders.

Advances in Integrated Energy Systems Design, Control and Optimization

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ISBN: 9783038424901 9783038424918 Year: Pages: X, 176 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03842-491-8 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: General and Civil Engineering
Added to DOAB on : 2017-09-18 08:26:19
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In the face of climate change and resource scarcity, energy supply systems are on the verge of a major transformation, which mainly includes the introduction of new components and their integration into the existing infrastructures, new network configurations and reliable topologies, optimal design and novel operation schemes, and new incentives and business models. This revolution is affecting the current paradigm and demanding that energy systems be integrated into multi-carrier energy hubs. It is highly increasing the interactions between today’s energy systems at various scales and future intelligent energy systems, which are able to incorporate an increasing amount renewable energy sources. This transformation is also accommodating active participation of end-users as responsive prosumers at different scales which in turn helps to reduce energy costs and to mitigate carbon footprints.This book covers the mentioned promising and dynamic areas of research and development, and reports on contributions in design, control and optimization of integrated energy systems. The contents of the book which are gathered based on the accepted articles in the special issue on Advances in Integrated Energy systems Design, Control and Optimization also covers a variety of topics, ranging from operation and control of small-scale electrical networks to the complex energy systems design and planning.

Combined Scheduling and Control

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ISBN: 9783038428053 9783038428060 Year: Pages: VIII, 166 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Computer Science --- Business and Management
Added to DOAB on : 2018-04-13 15:56:34
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Scheduling and control are typically viewed as separate applications because of historical factors such as limited computing resources. Now that algorithms and computing resources have advanced, there are new efforts to have short-term decisions (control) interact or merge with longer-term decisions (scheduling). A new generation of numerical optimization methods are evolving to capture additional benefits and unify the approach to manufacturing process automation. This special issue is a collection of some of the latest advancements in scheduling and control for both batch and continuous processes. It contains developments with multi-scale problem formulation, software for the new class of problems, and a survey of the strengths and weaknesses of successive levels of integration.

Energy Justice Across Borders

Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 9783030240219 Year: Pages: 305 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-24021-9 Language: English
Publisher: Springer
Subject: Agriculture (General) --- Science (General) --- Geography --- Philosophy
Added to DOAB on : 2020-02-05 11:21:07
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Philosophy; Engineering ethics; Energy policy; Energy and state; Economic geography; Renewable energy resources; Sustainable development; Energy systems

Electrical Power and Energy Systems for Transportation Applications

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ISBN: 9783038422426 9783038422075 Year: Pages: XX, 572 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03842-207-5 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Chemical Technology
Added to DOAB on : 2017-07-26 13:30:46
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Electrical power and energy systems are at the forefront of application developments in renewable energy, smart grids, electric aircrafts, electric and hybrid vehicles and much more. The associated technologies and control methods are crucial to achieving global targets in energy efficiency and low-carbon operations, and will also contribute to key areas such as energy security. The greatest challenges occur when we combine new technologies at large-scale and often complex system level. The Special Edition will cover theoretical developments with special emphasis on applications in electrical power and energy systems. Topics covered include:Renewable Energy Systems: Energy management; hybrid systems; distributed systems; renewable sources and integration; transient energy storage, charging networks.Electrical Machines, Drives and Applications: AC and DC machines and drives; multiscale systems modeling; remote monitoring and diagnosis; electric and hybrid vehicles; energy conversion, vehicle to grid interaction.Power Electronic Systems: Converters and emerging technologies; modeling simulation and control; power factor correction; power supplies; active filters; reliability and fault tolerance.Electrical Power Generation Systems: Modeling and simulation of electrical power systems; load management; power quality; distribution reliability; distributed and islanded power systems, sensor networks, communication and control.Electrical Power Systems Modeling and Control: Modeling and control methodologies and applications; intelligent systems; optimization and advanced heuristics; adaptive systems; robust control.

Modeling and Simulation of Energy Systems

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ISBN: 9783039215188 / 9783039215195 Year: Pages: 496 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-519-5 Language: eng
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Technology (General) --- General and Civil Engineering
Added to DOAB on : 2019-12-09 11:49:16
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Energy Systems Engineering is one of the most exciting and fastest growing fields in engineering. Modeling and simulation plays a key role in Energy Systems Engineering because it is the primary basis on which energy system design, control, optimization, and analysis are based. This book contains a specially curated collection of recent research articles on the modeling and simulation of energy systems written by top experts around the world from universities and research labs, such as Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Yale University, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, National Energy Technology Laboratory of the US Department of Energy, University of Technology Sydney, McMaster University, Queens University, Purdue University, the University of Connecticut, Technical University of Denmark, the University of Toronto, Technische Universität Berlin, Texas A&M, the University of Pennsylvania, and many more. The key research themes covered include energy systems design, control systems, flexible operations, operational strategies, and systems analysis. The addressed areas of application include electric power generation, refrigeration cycles, natural gas liquefaction, shale gas treatment, concentrated solar power, waste-to-energy systems, micro-gas turbines, carbon dioxide capture systems, energy storage, petroleum refinery unit operations, Brayton cycles, to name but a few.

Keywords

cogeneration --- process integration --- solar energy --- thermal storage --- desalination --- optimization --- naphtha recovery unit --- statistical model --- simulation --- optimization --- concentrating solar thermal --- CST --- concentrating solar power --- CSP --- parabolic trough --- PTC --- thermal storage --- industrial process heat --- hybrid solar --- power plants --- supervisory control --- dynamic simulation --- dynamic optimization --- optimal control --- post-combustion CO2 capture --- energy efficiency --- time-varying operation --- shale gas condensate --- process synthesis and design --- shale gas condensate-to-heavier liquids --- technoeconomic analysis --- supercritical carbon dioxide --- recompression cycle --- combined cycle --- efficiency --- organic Rankine cycle --- exergy loss --- second law efficiency --- auto thermal reformer --- palladium membrane hydrogen separation --- polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) --- multi-loop control --- nonsmooth modeling --- process simulation --- DMR liquefaction processes --- fuel cost minimization problem --- FCMP --- piecewise-linear function generation --- linearization --- natural gas transportation --- compressor modeling --- compressibility factor --- isentropic exponent --- friction factor --- demand response --- energy management --- energy storage --- optimal battery operation --- battery degradation --- micro gas turbine --- modelling --- diagnostics, gas path analysis, analysis by synthesis --- circulating fluidized bed boiler --- refuse derived fuel --- waste to energy --- dynamic modeling --- process control --- dynamic modeling --- process control --- load-following --- supercritical pulverized coal (SCPC) --- cycling --- time-delay --- smith predictor --- energy systems --- modeling and simulation --- multi-scale systems engineering --- sustainable process design --- energy economics --- top-down models --- hybrid Life Cycle Assessment --- oil and gas --- offshore wind --- combined cycle --- hybrid system --- kriging --- multi-objective optimisation --- solar PV --- wind power --- life cycle analysis --- energy storage --- multiphase equilibrium --- RK-ASPEN --- methyl-oleate --- biodiesel --- supercritical CO2 --- WHENS --- work and heat integration --- building blocks --- superstructure --- MINLP --- absorption refrigeration --- H2O-LiBr working pair --- double-effect system --- cost optimization --- nonlinear mathematical programming --- Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) --- geothermal energy --- binary cycle --- R245fa --- R123 --- mixture ratio --- Dieng --- Indonesia --- modeling --- simulation --- energy --- energy systems --- process systems engineering --- optimization --- process design --- operations

Intelligent Control in Energy Systems

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ISBN: 9783039214150 / 9783039214167 Year: Pages: 508 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-416-7 Language: eng
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Science (General) --- Physics (General)
Added to DOAB on : 2019-12-09 11:49:15
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The editors of this Special Issue titled “Intelligent Control in Energy Systems” have attempted to create a book containing original technical articles addressing various elements of intelligent control in energy systems. In response to our call for papers, we received 60 submissions. Of those submissions, 27 were published and 33 were rejected. In this book, we offer the 27 accepted technical articles as well as one editorial. Authors from 15 countries (China, Netherlands, Spain, Tunisia, United Sates of America, Korea, Brazil, Egypt, Denmark, Indonesia, Oman, Canada, Algeria, Mexico, and the Czech Republic) elaborate on several aspects of intelligent control in energy systems. The book covers a broad range of topics including fuzzy PID in automotive fuel cell and MPPT tracking, neural networks for fuel cell control and dynamic optimization of energy management, adaptive control on power systems, hierarchical Petri Nets in microgrid management, model predictive control for electric vehicle battery and frequency regulation in HVAC systems, deep learning for power consumption forecasting, decision trees for wind systems, risk analysis for demand side management, finite state automata for HVAC control, robust ?-synthesis for microgrids, and neuro-fuzzy systems in energy storage.

Keywords

lithium-ion battery pack --- soft internal short circuit --- model-based fault detection --- battery safety --- internal short circuit resistance --- load frequency control --- model uncertainty --- ?-synthesis --- differential evolution --- decision tree --- preventive control --- Fault Ride Through Capability --- doubly-fed induction generator --- ancillary service --- frequency regulation --- demand response --- commercial/residential buildings --- HVAC systems --- model predictive control --- rule-based control --- position control --- static friction --- exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) valve system --- automotive application --- hybrid electric vehicle --- compound structured permanent-magnet motor --- energy management strategy --- instantaneous optimization minimum power loss --- back propagation (BP) neural network --- power transformer winding --- vibration characteristics --- multiphysical field analysis --- short-circuit experiment --- winding-fault characteristics --- occupancy model --- occupancy-based control --- model predictive control --- energy efficiency --- building climate control --- solar monitoring system --- photovoltaic array --- energy management --- demand side management --- operation limit violations --- probabilistic power flow --- network sensitivity --- neural networks --- railway --- high-speed railway --- neutral section --- medium voltage --- thyristor --- AC static switch --- adaptive backstepping --- nonlinear power systems --- sliding mode control --- error compensation --- ?-class function --- energy internet --- multi-energy complementary --- integrated energy systems --- distribution network planning --- electric power consumption --- multi-step forecasting --- long short term memory --- convolutional neural network --- system identification --- parameter estimation --- system modelling --- model reduction --- polynomial expansion --- orthogonal least square --- industrial process --- electric vehicle --- battery packs --- active balance --- model predictive control --- hierarchical Petri nets --- urban microgrids --- phase-load balancing --- fuzzy logic controller --- MPPT: maximum power point tracking --- photovoltaic system --- step-up boost converter --- proton exchange membrane fuel cell --- four phases interleaved boost converter --- neural network controller --- AC-DC converters --- bridgeless SEPIC PFC converter --- repetitive controller --- current distortion --- current controller design --- stochastic power system operating point drift --- wind integrated power system --- power oscillations --- adaptive damping control --- continuous voltage control --- multiple-point control --- interaction minimization --- pilot point --- adjacent areas --- ANFIS --- artificial neural network --- fuzzy --- small scale compressed air energy storage (SS-CAES) --- voltage controlling --- electric meter --- error estimation --- line loss --- RLS --- double forgetting factors --- hybrid power plant --- control architecture --- coordination of reserves --- frequency support --- frequency control dead band --- fast frequency response --- frequency containment reserve --- line switching --- voltage violations --- three-stage --- fractional order fuzzy PID controller --- neural network algorithm --- PEM fuel cell --- MPPT operation --- sensitivity analysis --- intelligent control --- artificial intelligence --- energy management system --- smart micro-grid --- energy systems --- intelligent buildings --- forecasting --- multi-agent control --- optimization

Solar Radiation, Modelling and Remote Sensing

Authors: ---
ISBN: 9783039210046 / 9783039210053 Year: Pages: 230 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-005-3 Language: eng
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Science (General) --- Physics (General)
Added to DOAB on : 2019-06-26 08:44:06
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Accurate solar radiation knowledge and its characterization on the Earth’s surface are of high interest in many aspects of environmental and engineering sciences. Modeling of solar irradiance from satellite imagery has become the most widely used method for retrieving solar irradiance information under total sky conditions, particularly in the solar energy community. Solar radiation modeling, forecasting, and characterization continue to be broad areas of study, research, and development in the scientific community. This Special Issue contains a small sample of the current activities in this field. Both the environmental and climatology community, as the solar energy world, share a great interest in improving modeling tools and capabilities for obtaining more reliable and accurate knowledge of solar irradiance components worldwide. The work presented in this Special Issue also remarks on the significant role that remote sensing technologies play in retrieving and forecasting solar radiation information.

Keywords

Himawari-8/Advanced Meteorological Imager (Himawari-8/AHI) --- Geostationary Korea Multi-Purse Satellite/Advanced Meteorological Imager (GK-2A/AMI) --- broadband albedo at the top of the atmosphere (TOA albedo) --- reflected shortwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere (RSR) --- Clouds and the Earth Radiant Energy System (CERES) --- surface solar radiation --- remote sensing --- validation --- India --- solar radiation trends --- Solis scheme --- clear sky --- radiation model --- radiative transfer --- high turbidity --- water vapor --- solar radiation --- understory light condition --- forest canopy --- subcanopy light regime --- PAR --- shortwave radiation --- light attenuation --- remote sensing --- solar irradiance --- nowcasting --- AMESIS --- MSG --- SEVIRI --- radiance --- brightness temperature --- motion vector field --- photosynthetically active radiation --- global horizontal irradiance --- clustering analysis --- Kato bands --- solar irradiance --- MSG --- SEVIRI --- HRV --- AMESIS --- solar radiation --- global horizontal irradiance --- satellite-derived dataset --- validation --- solar energy --- aerosol impact --- earth observation --- clear sky index --- solar irradiance --- downward shortwave radiation --- global horizontal irradiance --- solar variability --- cloud categories --- GOES satellites --- evapotranspiration --- insolation --- surface energy balance --- data fusion --- water resource management --- California Delta --- solar radiation --- radiative transfer --- solar energy systems --- solar radiation forecasting

Sustainable Energy Systems: From Primary to End-Use

Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9783039210961 / 9783039210978 Year: Pages: 314 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03921-097-8 Language: eng
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Science (General) --- Physics (General)
Added to DOAB on : 2019-12-09 11:49:15
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This book focuses on sustainable energy systems. While several innovative and alternative concepts are presented, the topics of energy policy, life cycle assessment, thermal energy, and renewable energy also play a major role. Models on various temporal and geographical scales are developed to understand the conditions of technical as well as organizational change. New methods of modeling, which can fulfil technical and physical boundary conditions and nevertheless consider economic environmental and social aspects, are also developed.

Keywords

Active Disturbance Rejection Control --- Probabilistic Robustness --- Monte Carlo --- secondary air regulation --- areal grey relational analysis --- fuzzy rough set --- game theory --- AHP --- uncertainty analysis --- coal-fired power unit --- renewable energy --- biomass --- torrefaction --- grindability --- rotary reactor --- generation system scheduling --- integrated model --- basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand --- forecasting model for electricity demand --- biomass --- Pinus pinaster --- fuel --- heating value --- fuelwood value index --- energy density --- ash recovery --- peach --- Energy Life-Cycle Assessment --- post-harvest --- fuzzy logic control --- artificial neural networks control --- tidal stream generator --- swell effect disturbance --- doubly fed induction generator --- maximum power point tracking --- capacity investment --- market power --- wind resources --- dynamic planning --- stochastic approach --- levelized cost of energy --- photovoltaic with energy storage system --- HOMER simulation --- LCOE comparison --- sensitivity analysis --- transient impact --- renewable energy source penetration --- power system stability --- robust optimization --- renewable energy --- flexibility --- deficit --- uncertainty --- flexible resource --- energy storage systems --- active power harmonics filter --- electrostatic devices --- hysteresis switching --- op-amp --- power electronics --- power supply reliability --- electricity --- manufacturing industry --- choice experiment --- willingness to pay --- nexus concept --- energy modelling --- resource efficiency --- renewable energy --- low-carbon economy --- forecasting --- multilayer perception --- photovoltaic --- sustainable energy --- pseudo-Huber loss --- energy from biomass --- textile industrial sector --- alternative energy --- SWOT analysis --- energy costs --- Internet of Things --- thermodynamic cycle concepts --- sustainability --- modified cycle concepts --- efficiency --- energy systems --- renewable energies --- wind power plants --- hollow rollers --- large bearings

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