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Kernel Methods and Hybrid Evolutionary Algorithms in Energy Forecasting

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ISBN: 9783038972921 9783038972938 Year: Pages: 186 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03897-293-8 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Computer Science --- General and Civil Engineering
Added to DOAB on : 2018-10-22 10:01:53
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The development of kernel methods and hybrid evolutionary algorithms (HEAs) to support experts in energy forecasting is of great importance to improving the accuracy of the actions derived from an energy decision maker, and it is crucial that they are theoretically sound. In addition, more accurate or more precise energy demand forecasts are required when decisions are made in a competitive environment. Therefore, this is of special relevance in the Big Data era. These forecasts are usually based on a complex function combination. These models have resulted in over-reliance on the use of informal judgment and higher expense if lacking the ability to catch the data patterns. The novel applications of kernel methods and hybrid evolutionary algorithms can provide more satisfactory parameters in forecasting models. We aimed to attract researchers with an interest in the research areas described above. Specifically, we were interested in contributions towards the development of HEAs with kernel methods or with other novel methods (e.g., chaotic mapping mechanism, fuzzy theory, and quantum computing mechanism), which, with superior capabilities over the traditional optimization approaches, aim to overcome some embedded drawbacks and then apply these new HEAs to be hybridized with original forecasting models to significantly improve forecasting accuracy.

Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems

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ISBN: 9783039283125 9783039283132 Year: Pages: 134 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03928-313-2 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Technology (General) --- General and Civil Engineering
Added to DOAB on : 2020-04-07 23:07:09
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Modern power systems are affected by many sources of uncertainty, driven by the spread of renewable generation, by the development of liberalized energy market systems and by the intrinsic random behavior of the final energy customers. Forecasting is, therefore, a crucial task in planning and managing modern power systems at any level: from transmission to distribution networks, and in also the new context of smart grids. Recent trends suggest the suitability of ensemble approaches in order to increase the versatility and robustness of forecasting systems. Stacking, boosting, and bagging techniques have recently started to attract the interest of power system practitioners. This book addresses the development of new, advanced, ensemble forecasting methods applied to power systems, collecting recent contributions to the development of accurate forecasts of energy-related variables by some of the most qualified experts in energy forecasting. Typical areas of research (renewable energy forecasting, load forecasting, energy price forecasting) are investigated, with relevant applications to the use of forecasts in energy management systems.

Flood Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods

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ISBN: 9783038975489 Year: Pages: 376 DOI: 10.3390/books978-3-03897-549-6 Language: English
Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Subject: Technology (General) --- General and Civil Engineering --- Environmental Engineering
Added to DOAB on : 2019-03-08 11:42:05
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This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue Flood Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods that was published in Water

Keywords

data scarce basins --- runoff series --- data forward prediction --- ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) --- stopping criteria --- method of tracking energy differences (MTED) --- deep learning --- convolutional neural networks --- superpixel --- urban water bodies --- high-resolution remote-sensing images --- monthly streamflow forecasting --- artificial neural network --- ensemble technique --- phase space reconstruction --- empirical wavelet transform --- hybrid neural network --- flood forecasting --- self-organizing map --- bat algorithm --- particle swarm optimization --- flood routing --- Muskingum model --- machine learning methods --- St. Venant equations --- rating curve method --- nonlinear Muskingum model --- hydrograph predictions --- flood routing --- Muskingum model --- hydrologic models --- improved bat algorithm --- Wilson flood --- Karahan flood --- flood susceptibility modeling --- ANFIS --- cultural algorithm --- bees algorithm --- invasive weed optimization --- Haraz watershed --- ANN-based models --- flood inundation map --- self-organizing map (SOM) --- recurrent nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs (RNARX) --- ensemble technique --- artificial neural networks --- uncertainty --- streamflow predictions --- sensitivity --- flood forecasting --- extreme learning machine (ELM) --- backtracking search optimization algorithm (BSA) --- the upper Yangtze River --- deep learning --- LSTM network --- water level forecast --- the Three Gorges Dam --- Dongting Lake --- Muskingum model --- wolf pack algorithm --- parameters --- optimization --- flood routing --- flash-flood --- precipitation-runoff --- forecasting --- lag analysis --- random forest --- machine learning --- flood prediction --- flood forecasting --- hydrologic model --- rainfall–runoff, hybrid & --- ensemble machine learning --- artificial neural network --- support vector machine --- natural hazards & --- disasters --- adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) --- decision tree --- survey --- classification and regression trees (CART), data science --- big data --- artificial intelligence --- soft computing --- extreme event management --- time series prediction --- LSTM --- rainfall-runoff --- flood events --- flood forecasting --- data assimilation --- particle filter algorithm --- micro-model --- Lower Yellow River --- ANN --- hydrometeorology --- flood forecasting --- real-time --- postprocessing --- machine learning --- early flood warning systems --- hydroinformatics --- database --- flood forecast --- Google Maps

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