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Financial crises are nothing new in the annals of history of the capitalistic path of economic development; indeed, they are part of business cycle. The theoretical basis for this is well entrenched in the concept of ‘Keynesian Cross’. Tales of crises date back centuries, but have taken a new turn as the race for more globalization goes on, which involves liberalizing trade and opening up the financial sector. This has made many nations vulnerable to crises that are likely to be repeated, perhaps frequently. Based on recent experience, warning signs can be seen in the dollar-centric exchange rate, which is the mainstay for the stability of the current global financial system. To a careful observer, there is clearly fatigue in the system.
policy uncertainty --- money demand --- the U.S.A., asymmetry --- nonlinear ARDL --- monetary policy --- cash flow --- investment --- GMM --- China --- Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) --- international monetary system --- RMB internationalization --- Belt and Road Initiative --- risk management --- Grondona system --- currency convertibility --- commodity price stabilisation --- currency crisis --- economic institutions --- currency --- monetary plurality --- Argentina --- cointegration --- exchange rate disconnect puzzle --- macroeconomic fundamentals --- emerging market economies --- NARDL --- trade balance --- exchange rates --- currency pegs --- banking crises --- China --- Special Drawing Right --- international monetary system --- reserve currency --- RMB internationalization --- mortgage crisis --- default swap --- derivative --- Asian crisis --- LIBOR
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Although the theme of the monograph is primarily related to “Applied Econometrics”, there are several theoretical contributions that are associated with empirical examples, or directions in which the novel theoretical ideas might be applied. The monograph is associated with significant and novel contributions in theoretical and applied econometrics; economics; theoretical and applied financial econometrics; quantitative finance; risk; financial modeling; portfolio management; optimal hedging strategies; theoretical and applied statistics; applied time series analysis; forecasting; applied mathematics; energy economics; energy finance; tourism research; tourism finance; agricultural economics; informatics; data mining; bibliometrics; and international rankings of journals and academics.
inflation --- postage stamps --- price recovery --- historical time series --- EGARCH --- FHA loan --- home mortgage --- foreclosure --- default and prepayment --- unobserved heterogeneity --- duration models --- competing risks --- earnings forecasts --- earnings announcements --- financial markets --- financial analysts --- nonparametric time series modeling --- nonlinearity --- unified time series algorithm --- exploratory diagnostics --- control environment --- budgetary system and strategies --- operational control --- company performance --- economic growth --- economic freedom --- foreign direct investment --- panel data --- cash payments --- efficiency --- denomination range --- JEL Classification --- E42 --- E58 --- managing of financial health --- risk of bankruptcy --- prediction methods --- post-communist countries --- Misery Index --- inflation --- unemployment --- Probit and Logit models --- Okun’s law --- multivariate regression models --- heavy-tailed data --- Mahalanobis distances --- maximum likelihood estimator --- independent multivariate Student distribution --- uncorrelated multivariate Student distribution --- derivatives market --- economic development --- Granger-causality tests --- vector error correction model (VECM) --- DOLS --- FMOLS --- income inequality --- economic growth --- middle income countries --- Granger causality test --- system GMM --- oil price --- exchange rate --- trade balance --- cointegration --- frequency domain causality --- Nigeria --- Fama-French factor model --- market microstructure --- trading behavior --- panel data factor model --- social network model --- risk spillover --- abnormal returns
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